Monday, May 23, 2011

Mavericks vs. Thunder; Game 4 Western Conference Finals

Tonight DP and I have the Mavs taking Game 4 on the road in OKC. One of the best playoff road teams we have ever seen, this team seems to be on a mission and is extremely hungry. Dirk has had some relatively off games, and I think he comes back with a strong(er) performance tonight. Mavs will go up early and OKC will struggle to come back until it's too late, so I like the points and over. Most money is on OKC from what I have seen, but I think we can expect big games from Chandler and Marion tonight. Mavericks have been very good to us all post-season, and we have an incredible 8-1 record taking them against the spread. Feeling good about this one.

May 23, 2011:

  • [Me/DP] Mavericks +155 ML
  • [DP] Mavericks Adjusted Line -4.5 (+250)
  • [DP] Over 195.5
  • [DP] Over 196
  • [DP] Mavericks +4


  • [DP] Dirk Nowitzki (Mavs) Odds to Win the 2011 NBA Finals MVP +1500

Sunday's Results:

0-4; massive Bulls fail on Sunday. Keith Bogans especially. First half accumulation = 5, second half accumulation = 0. Lame. Back to the drawing board, these nights happen.

Sunday, May 22, 2011

Back in Business

Yo. I've been completely consumed by the NBA Playoffs so my blog collected some dust. I want to bring the light and share some knowledge considering the NBA Draft is in a month and the Finals even sooner. So with the Wizards all but forgotten on the scene (with a weak 6th overall pick), I have tuned my NBA involvement up one notch. A single notch.

DP and I started betting on NBA in April and have had solid success with profit at 200% and as high as 350%. We experienced a slight, recent slump but these playoffs have truly been a circus. My reason for blogging our picks is so I can record my thought processes and progress as well as track useful statistics and sources.

We begin with Bulls vs. Heat Game 3 of 2011 Conference Finals. Splendid.

Bulls vs. Heat; Game 3 Eastern Conference Finals

Tonight I'm really liking the Bulls and DP the under. We both feel very good about the under and it's going to be close. Our refs tonight tend to let players play, so we can expect a defensive struggle all game. However, the Bulls will not struggle as they did in Game 2, and I am fully expecting them to bounce back from that terrible performance. There are a few things that will not occur in this game that occured in Game 2: Bulls 3-20 3P FG, Haslem dominance and terrible Bulls FT shooting (61.5%).

Haslem and LeBron will, relatively, come back to earth in game 3. Heat will take the lead going in to the 2nd half but Bulls will come back to win and cover. Some things I expect to occur include: Big game by Noah, better SG play for Bulls and for Bosh to once again handle Boozer. Bulls are 27-11 ATS as a road dog, and I believe Miami gets cold quickly because of the three day layoff. However, Miami is undefeated at home in the playoffs. That ends tonight.

May 22, 2011:

  • [Me] Bulls +170 ML
  • [DP] Under 179
  • [Me](Parlay) Bulls +4.5 / Under 179.5
  • [DP](Player prop) Keith Bogans (Bulls) Total Points+Rebounds+Assists: Over 6.5 (-105)


  • [DP] Dirk Nowitzki (Mavs) Odds to Win the 2011 NBA Finals MVP +1500